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Sha Tin · 2020-09-13

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BUNDLE OF ENERGY Closed strongly B 1.21.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 6 3.6 N
2 0 ROYAL RACER Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes 13 4.0 N
3 0 GALAXY EMPEROR Closed strongly CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 3 7.4 2
4 0 BRAVERY AND POWER Closed strongly TT M F Poon · W Y So 12 43.0 2-1/2
5 0 TREASURE CHEST B/XB K H Chan · P F Yiu 7 10.0 2-3/4
6 0 ROCHFORD V H T Mo · L Ho 2 104.0 4
7 0 SMILING SUCCESS B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting 8 6.0 5
8 0 E GENERATION Led early H1/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes 9 12.0 6-1/2
9 0 FIRE AND GOLD Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C H Yip 5 22.0 7-1/2
10 0 COOL ACE H B Shinn · C W Chang 1 63.0 8-1/4
11 0 JOY N FUN LEGEND B-/V1/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 10 126.0 13-1/4
12 0 WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man 11 70.0 14-3/4
13 0 MOON PEAKS B/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui 4 10.0 23-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BUNDLE OF ENERGY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with ROYAL RACER second and GALAXY EMPEROR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BUNDLE OF ENERGY—2. ROYAL RACER+0.05L3. GALAXY EMPEROR+2L4. BRAVERY AND POWER+2.5L5. TREASURE CHEST+2.75L6. ROCHFORD+4L7. SMILING SUCCESS+5L8. E GENERATION+6.5L9. FIRE AND GOLD+7.5L10. COOL ACE+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick BUNDLE OF ENERGY (36.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BUNDLE OF ENERGY 36.1% 2.77 1
2 0 ROYAL RACER 14.3% 6.97 2
3 0 TREASURE CHEST 11.9% 8.40 5
4 0 GALAXY EMPEROR 7.1% 14.11 3
5 0 SMILING SUCCESS 6.3% 15.79 7
6 0 WINNERS BROTHER 4.9% 20.52 12
7 0 FIRE AND GOLD 4.6% 21.57 9
8 0 ROCHFORD 4.3% 23.51 6
9 0 E GENERATION 3.3% 30.41 8
10 0 MOON PEAKS 3.1% 32.28 13
11 0 BRAVERY AND POWER 2.5% 39.83 4
12 0 JOY N FUN LEGEND 1.0% 102.99 11
13 0 COOL ACE 0.7% 153.26 10
BUNDLE OF ENERGY — wonROYAL RACERTREASURE CHESTGALAXY EMPERORSMILING SUCCESSWINNERS BROTHERFIRE AND GOLDROCHFORDE GENERATIONMOON PEAKSBRAVERY AND POWERJOY N FUN LEGENDCOOL ACE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 36

PLACE

3 15.5

4 15

5 28

QUINELLA

3,4 80.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 31

3,5 73

4,5 51

FORECAST

4,3 153

TIERCE

4,3,5 920

TRIO

3,4,5 192

FIRST 4

3,4,5,11 1,333

QUARTET

4,3,5,11 18,915

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/3 40

5/4 147.5

3 PICK 1

A1 19

A3 —

A2 —