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Sha Tin · 2020-09-13

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 13 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BUNDLE OF ENERGY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with ROYAL RACER second and GALAXY EMPEROR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.21.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 BUNDLE OF ENERGY Closed strongly B 1.21.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 6 3.6 N
2 3 ROYAL RACER Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes 13 4.0 N
3 5 GALAXY EMPEROR Closed strongly CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 3 7.4 2
4 11 BRAVERY AND POWER Closed strongly TT M F Poon · W Y So 12 43.0 2-1/2
5 9 TREASURE CHEST B/XB K H Chan · P F Yiu 7 10.0 2-3/4
6 8 ROCHFORD V H T Mo · L Ho 2 104.0 4
7 1 SMILING SUCCESS B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting 8 6.0 5
8 12 E GENERATION Led early H1/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes 9 12.0 6-1/2
9 7 FIRE AND GOLD Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C H Yip 5 22.0 7-1/2
10 2 COOL ACE H B Shinn · C W Chang 1 63.0 8-1/4
11 10 JOY N FUN LEGEND B-/V1/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 10 126.0 13-1/4
12 13 WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man 11 70.0 14-3/4
13 6 MOON PEAKS B/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui 4 10.0 23-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BUNDLE OF ENERGY2. ROYAL RACER+0.05L3. GALAXY EMPEROR+2L4. BRAVERY AND POWER+2.5L5. TREASURE CHEST+2.75L6. ROCHFORD+4L7. SMILING SUCCESS+5L8. E GENERATION+6.5L9. FIRE AND GOLD+7.5L10. COOL ACE+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick BUNDLE OF ENERGY (36.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 BUNDLE OF ENERGY 36.1% 2.77 1
2 3 ROYAL RACER 14.3% 6.97 2
3 9 TREASURE CHEST 11.9% 8.40 5
4 5 GALAXY EMPEROR 7.1% 14.11 3
5 1 SMILING SUCCESS 6.3% 15.79 7
6 13 WINNERS BROTHER 4.9% 20.52 12
7 7 FIRE AND GOLD 4.6% 21.57 9
8 8 ROCHFORD 4.3% 23.51 6
9 12 E GENERATION 3.3% 30.41 8
10 6 MOON PEAKS 3.1% 32.28 13
11 11 BRAVERY AND POWER 2.5% 39.83 4
12 10 JOY N FUN LEGEND 1.0% 102.99 11
13 2 COOL ACE 0.7% 153.26 10
BUNDLE OF ENERGY — wonROYAL RACERTREASURE CHESTGALAXY EMPERORSMILING SUCCESSWINNERS BROTHERFIRE AND GOLDROCHFORDE GENERATIONMOON PEAKSBRAVERY AND POWERJOY N FUN LEGENDCOOL ACE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 36

PLACE

3 15.5

4 15

5 28

QUINELLA

3,4 80.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 31

3,5 73

4,5 51

FORECAST

4,3 153

TIERCE

4,3,5 920

TRIO

3,4,5 192

FIRST 4

3,4,5,11 1,333

QUARTET

4,3,5,11 18,915

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/3 40

5/4 147.5

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 19