沙田 · 2020-09-13
第 2場
2020-09-13沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的BUNDLE OF ENERGY勝出，贏出N。ROYAL RACER獲得亞軍；GALAXY EMPEROR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY 後段發力 B 1.21.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 3.6 | N |
| 2 | 3 | ROYAL RACER 後段發力 V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | GALAXY EMPEROR 後段發力 CP/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | BRAVERY AND POWER 後段發力 TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 12 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 7 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ROCHFORD V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 104.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | SMILING SUCCESS B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 8 | 6.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | E GENERATION 早段領放 H1/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 9 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | FIRE AND GOLD 後段發力 B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | COOL ACE H B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 1 | 63.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | JOY N FUN LEGEND B-/V1/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 126.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | WINNERS BROTHER B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 11 | 70.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | MOON PEAKS B/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 10.0 | 23-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 36.1% | 2.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | ROYAL RACER | 14.3% | 6.97 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | TREASURE CHEST | 11.9% | 8.40 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 7.1% | 14.11 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | SMILING SUCCESS | 6.3% | 15.79 | 7 |
| 6 | 13 | WINNERS BROTHER | 4.9% | 20.52 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | FIRE AND GOLD | 4.6% | 21.57 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | ROCHFORD | 4.3% | 23.51 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | E GENERATION | 3.3% | 30.41 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | MOON PEAKS | 3.1% | 32.28 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 2.5% | 39.83 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 1.0% | 102.99 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | COOL ACE | 0.7% | 153.26 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 36
PLACE
3 15.5
4 15
5 28
QUINELLA
3,4 80.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 31
3,5 73
4,5 51
FORECAST
4,3 153
TIERCE
4,3,5 920
TRIO
3,4,5 192
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 1,333
QUARTET
4,3,5,11 18,915
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/3 40
5/4 147.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19