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Sha Tin · 2020-09-13

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 17.0 3/4
2 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor 11 12.0 3/4
3 0 MIGHTY POWER Closed strongly BO1 C Schofield · D A Hayes 13 4.1 3/4
4 0 BULLETPROOF B C Wong · P F Yiu 4 19.0 1-3/4
5 0 LIGHT MY DAY B-/TT K C Leung · C H Yip 6 90.0 2-1/2
6 0 PEARL CHAMPION B J Moreira · K L Man 9 4.7 3-3/4
7 0 KING'S RACE B/TT M F Poon · K H Ting 3 5.9 4-3/4
8 0 GALLANT CROWN TT A Hamelin · A T Millard 2 17.0 5-3/4
9 0 MY FAMILY V Borges · Y S Tsui 7 110.0 5-3/4
10 0 SONIC FIGHTER Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan 10 4.7 6-1/2
11 0 BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H A Badel · C W Chang 1 44.0 7
12 0 PRESIDENT STAR TT H W Lai · C S Shum 5 98.0 9-3/4
13 0 DREAM WARRIORS CP/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 12 11.0 18

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SEAWEED FORTUNE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with ALL FOR ST PAUL'S second and MIGHTY POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite MIGHTY POWER finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SEAWEED FORTUNE—2. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S+0.75L3. MIGHTY POWER+0.75L4. BULLETPROOF+1.75L5. LIGHT MY DAY+2.5L6. PEARL CHAMPION+3.75L7. KING'S RACE+4.75L8. GALLANT CROWN+5.75L9. MY FAMILY+5.75L10. SONIC FIGHTER+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick BULLISH GLORY (16.4%) finished 11th — the winner SEAWEED FORTUNE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BULLISH GLORY 16.4% 6.10 11
2 0 KING'S RACE 15.0% 6.66 7
3 0 PEARL CHAMPION 11.9% 8.39 6
4 0 SONIC FIGHTER 10.8% 9.30 10
5 0 SEAWEED FORTUNE 7.7% 12.92 1
6 0 MIGHTY POWER 7.4% 13.55 3
7 0 BULLETPROOF 6.8% 14.66 4
8 0 DREAM WARRIORS 6.7% 14.97 13
9 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 6.4% 15.72 2
10 0 GALLANT CROWN 3.9% 25.90 8
11 0 MY FAMILY 3.2% 30.90 9
12 0 PRESIDENT STAR 2.1% 46.81 12
13 0 LIGHT MY DAY 1.7% 59.19 5
BULLISH GLORYKING'S RACEPEARL CHAMPIONSONIC FIGHTERSEAWEED FORTUNE — wonMIGHTY POWERBULLETPROOFDREAM WARRIORSALL FOR ST PAUL'SGALLANT CROWNMY FAMILYPRESIDENT STARLIGHT MY DAY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 179.5

PLACE

8 18.5

9 53.5

11 39

QUINELLA

9,11 942.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,9 163.5

8,11 97.5

9,11 302

FORECAST

9,11 1,621

TIERCE

9,11,8 10,631

TRIO

8,9,11 1,961

FIRST 4

8,9,11,12 7,016

QUARTET

9,11,8,12 222,725

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 31

A1 —

5TH DOUBLE

8/9 657.5

8/11 80.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,3,10/2,3,8/8,9,11 2,822,267

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,3,10/2,3,8/Any Combination 56,445