Sha Tin · 2020-09-13
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SEAWEED FORTUNE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with ALL FOR ST PAUL'S second and MIGHTY POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite MIGHTY POWER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | MIGHTY POWER Closed strongly BO1 C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 13 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | BULLETPROOF B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | LIGHT MY DAY B-/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 6 | 90.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | PEARL CHAMPION B J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 9 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | KING'S RACE B/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 3 | 5.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 2 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | MY FAMILY V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 7 | 110.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SONIC FIGHTER Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 4.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 1 | 44.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | PRESIDENT STAR TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 5 | 98.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | DREAM WARRIORS CP/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BULLISH GLORY | 16.4% | 6.10 | 11 |
| 2 | 2 | KING'S RACE | 15.0% | 6.66 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | PEARL CHAMPION | 11.9% | 8.39 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | SONIC FIGHTER | 10.8% | 9.30 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 7.7% | 12.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | MIGHTY POWER | 7.4% | 13.55 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | BULLETPROOF | 6.8% | 14.66 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | DREAM WARRIORS | 6.7% | 14.97 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 6.4% | 15.72 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN | 3.9% | 25.90 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | MY FAMILY | 3.2% | 30.90 | 9 |
| 12 | 13 | PRESIDENT STAR | 2.1% | 46.81 | 12 |
| 13 | 7 | LIGHT MY DAY | 1.7% | 59.19 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 179.5
PLACE
8 18.5
9 53.5
11 39
QUINELLA
9,11 942.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 163.5
8,11 97.5
9,11 302
FORECAST
9,11 1,621
TIERCE
9,11,8 10,631
TRIO
8,9,11 1,961
FIRST 4
8,9,11,12 7,016
QUARTET
9,11,8,12 222,725
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 31
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
8/9 657.5
8/11 80.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,10/2,3,8/8,9,11 2,822,267
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,10/2,3,8/Any Combination 56,445