Sha Tin · 2020-09-13
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with MASTER GALAXY second and LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite ADONIS finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B 1.22.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | MASTER GALAXY Closed strongly H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 38.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 12 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly B- K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | WONDER WIN Closed strongly P- M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 13 | 155.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | ADONIS Closed strongly CP/H C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | EVER STRONG P2 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 101.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly SR N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | TARGET FINDER Led early H/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 5 | 171.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | GOLDEN GENERAL Closed strongly CP/XB C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 10 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SOCCER MASTER B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 8 | 4.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY HOUR Closed strongly E/TT C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 9 | 79.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | GALAXY RACER V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 9.3 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | DRAGON BOLT XB-/H Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 14 | 18.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GALAXY RACER | 20.0% | 4.99 | 13 |
| 2 | 2 | ADONIS | 15.5% | 6.47 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | SHINEALOT | 12.9% | 7.75 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 12.8% | 7.83 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | SOCCER MASTER | 9.8% | 10.20 | 11 |
| 6 | 13 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 6.2% | 16.04 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | DRAGON BOLT | 5.6% | 17.89 | 14 |
| 8 | 1 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 4.4% | 22.75 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | EVER STRONG | 3.9% | 25.92 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | WONDER WIN | 2.3% | 42.65 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 2.3% | 44.20 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY HOUR | 1.7% | 57.17 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | MASTER GALAXY | 1.3% | 75.69 | 2 |
| 14 | 14 | TARGET FINDER | 1.3% | 78.40 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 60
PLACE
1 42
3 20
10 94.5
QUINELLA
3,10 1,542.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 160
1,10 652.5
3,10 394
FORECAST
3,10 2,436
TIERCE
3,10,1 39,668
TRIO
1,3,10 5,799
FIRST 4
1,3,6,10 10,504
QUARTET
3,10,1,6 333,885
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/1,3,10 131,554
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/3 302
1/10 439