Sha Tin · 2020-09-13
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. EIGHT TRIGRAMS, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Hall, won by 2, with FORTUNE HAPPINESS second and STAR SUPERIOR third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B 1.08.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 9 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 3 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | STAR SUPERIOR K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 6.2 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER ALLIANCES P C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 3.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | WELL DRAGON TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 6 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | LUCKY PUZZLE B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 4 | 162.0 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | VIVA MAMA V1/TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 59.0 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | CLUB LAD B1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 76.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | STAR PRESENT H-/P-/TT- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 15.0 | 18-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 26.0% | 3.84 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 17.8% | 5.60 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 13.2% | 7.55 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | STAR SUPERIOR | 10.2% | 9.76 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | CLUB LAD | 10.0% | 9.97 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 9.4% | 10.63 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | VIVA MAMA | 5.3% | 18.80 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | STAR PRESENT | 3.0% | 33.37 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS | 2.6% | 38.13 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | WELL DRAGON | 2.3% | 44.26 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 32
PLACE
1 15.5
2 13.5
9 14
QUINELLA
1,2 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 26
1,9 34.5
2,9 32
FORECAST
1,2 174
TIERCE
1,2,9 506
TRIO
1,2,9 89
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 43
QUARTET
1,2,9,3 1,166
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
4/1 158
4/2 17.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 15.5
A1 —