Sha Tin · 2020-09-13
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER Closed strongly B 1.35.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Led early TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN TT2 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MANAGEMENT STAR Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDER EXPRESS CP/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | JIMMU Closed strongly CP B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 6 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR WIN Closed strongly M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 287.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | APEX TOP B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FULL POWER B/XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 7 | 15.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FAMILY LEADER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with STARSHIP second and REGENCY MASTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite REGENCY MASTER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 30.6% | 3.27 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 27.9% | 3.58 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 8.0% | 12.53 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDER EXPRESS | 6.8% | 14.64 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | FULL POWER | 6.1% | 16.36 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | APEX TOP | 5.7% | 17.40 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | MANAGEMENT STAR | 5.1% | 19.70 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | STARSHIP | 4.7% | 21.27 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | JIMMU | 4.0% | 25.26 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR WIN | 1.1% | 92.00 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 32
PLACE
2 47
3 12.5
8 12.5
QUINELLA
2,8 322
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 85.5
2,8 102.5
3,8 19.5
FORECAST
8,2 670
TIERCE
8,2,3 1,928
TRIO
2,3,8 217
FIRST 4
2,3,8,10 347
QUARTET
8,2,3,10 11,496
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/2 239.5
3/8 264.5