跑馬地 · 2020-11-11
第 3場
2020-11-11跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、P F Yiu訓練的COLONEL勝出，贏出2-1/2。WINNING WAYS獲得亞軍；HERE COMES TED獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門HERE COMES TED跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | COLONEL V 1.10.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | WINNING WAYS H/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 9.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | HERE COMES TED CP K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 8 | 2.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 46.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | TOP MILITARY B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/XB/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 5 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER KIN B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 5.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | ALLOY KING H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | COUNTRY BOY H1/P1/TT N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 9 | 98.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | LIGHT OF WANSHI TT1 T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 11 | 47.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HERE COMES TED | 21.3% | 4.69 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME | 15.1% | 6.61 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | TOP MILITARY | 14.2% | 7.03 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | COLONEL | 13.2% | 7.59 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER KIN | 7.6% | 13.13 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 6.9% | 14.50 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | WINNING WAYS | 6.8% | 14.74 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 6.2% | 16.24 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 4.1% | 24.22 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | ALLOY KING | 2.2% | 44.79 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 1.2% | 82.18 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | COUNTRY BOY | 1.1% | 91.39 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 61
PLACE
3 12.5
9 21
11 24.5
QUINELLA
9,11 204
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 33.5
3,11 33
9,11 68
FORECAST
9,11 547
TIERCE
9,11,3 1,112
TRIO
3,9,11 142
FIRST 4
3,7,9,11 1,319
QUARTET
9,11,3,7 26,685
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
4/9 1,065
4/11 221.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 30.5
A3 —