跑馬地 · 2021-02-10
第 9場
2021-02-10跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、K H Ting訓練的EQUALETTA BLITZ勝出，贏出N。KA YING MASTER獲得亞軍；LOVING A BOOM獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H 1.09.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 3 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 2 | KA YING MASTER TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 5.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM TT C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 12 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 36.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | WIND N GRASS TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 1 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | TORNADO TWIST B/TT C Soumillon · F C Lor | C Soumillon | F C Lor | 6 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | GREEN REIGN C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | BEAUTY KOBE H V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 8 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | HARMONY N HOME H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 4 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 9 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 142.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CARROLL STREET A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KA YING MASTER | 21.2% | 4.71 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 16.7% | 5.98 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | WIND N GRASS | 10.6% | 9.47 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM | 9.5% | 10.49 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | TORNADO TWIST | 9.0% | 11.11 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 7.9% | 12.68 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 7.1% | 14.03 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | HARMONY N HOME | 6.7% | 15.02 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | WATER DIVINER | 3.6% | 27.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | BEAUTY KOBE | 3.5% | 28.58 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | GREEN REIGN | 3.2% | 31.12 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 1.0% | 103.37 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 29
PLACE
1 30.5
2 20
7 15.5
QUINELLA
2,7 78.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 90.5
1,7 61
2,7 35
FORECAST
7,2 161
TIERCE
7,2,1 1,124
TRIO
1,2,7 189
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 1,782
QUARTET
7,2,1,12 18,418
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 21
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/1,2,7 2,582
8TH DOUBLE
4/2 19
4/7 62
SIX UP
6,7/2,7/5,6/8,10/1,4/2,7 940
6/7/5/10/4/7 20,847
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
10/4/2 170
10/4/7 593