跑馬地 · 2021-02-10
第 7場
2021-02-10跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的SPONTANEOUS勝出，贏出N。ROMANTIC TROVE獲得亞軍；STOCK LEGEND獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門STOCK LEGEND跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPONTANEOUS 1.10.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 6.7 | N |
| 2 | 8 | ROMANTIC TROVE TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 6 | 7.2 | N |
| 3 | 1 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 12 | 2.4 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | TELECOM ROCKET B C Soumillon · Y S Tsui | C Soumillon | Y S Tsui | 11 | 9.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN XB/CP1/TT- M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 3 | 63.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | CHEEKY PRAWN K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT B/H/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 8 | 9.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ATHENA H-/CP1/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 42.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SILVERY WARRIOR TT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 4 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | INNO LEGEND CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | APEX TOP B C Y Ho · A T Millard | C Y Ho | A T Millard | 7 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STOCK LEGEND | 22.8% | 4.39 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT | 17.1% | 5.84 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | CHEEKY PRAWN | 12.5% | 8.00 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE | 7.1% | 14.13 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | APEX TOP | 6.5% | 15.33 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | INNO LEGEND | 6.5% | 15.36 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 6.2% | 16.19 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | TELECOM ROCKET | 5.2% | 19.36 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | SILVERY WARRIOR | 4.9% | 20.31 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | ATHENA | 4.5% | 22.25 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | SPONTANEOUS | 3.8% | 26.09 | 1 |
| 12 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 2.9% | 34.61 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 67
PLACE
1 14.5
8 22
10 22
QUINELLA
8,10 203
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 51
1,10 48.5
8,10 75
FORECAST
10,8 493
TIERCE
10,8,1 1,552
TRIO
1,8,10 198
FIRST 4
1,3,8,10 400
QUARTET
10,8,1,3 12,421
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,6/1,8,10 11,035
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/8 60.5
5/10 340.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,7,10/3,5,6/1,8,10 153,390
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,10/3,5,6/Any Combination 1,576