沙田 · 2021-02-21
第 6場
2021-02-21沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、K H Ting訓練的MAN STAR勝出，贏出N。LUCKY FUN獲得亞軍；MEGA HEART獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門LUCKY FUN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAN STAR B-/V1 1.08.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY FUN H Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 2.1 | N |
| 3 | 2 | MEGA HEART XB/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 1 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | FLYING BONUS P A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | ALL FOR SOUTH B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER ALLIANCES P M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 6 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | MING WARRIOR TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 9 | 200.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | UTOPIA LIFE V N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 3 | 8.2 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HARMONY AND RICH A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 12 | 53.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | BIZ POWER B T Piccone · P O'Sullivan | T Piccone | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 21.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 8 | 19.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY FUN | 27.6% | 3.63 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 17.2% | 5.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | BIZ POWER | 9.3% | 10.74 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | FLYING BONUS | 7.5% | 13.27 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 7.2% | 13.96 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 6.7% | 14.89 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | UTOPIA LIFE | 6.0% | 16.57 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 6.0% | 16.80 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | MEGA HEART | 4.4% | 22.47 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | HARMONY AND RICH | 4.1% | 24.59 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | MAN STAR | 3.6% | 27.75 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | MING WARRIOR | 0.4% | 222.37 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 112.5
PLACE
2 22.5
7 13
9 34.5
QUINELLA
7,9 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 40
2,9 137.5
7,9 63
FORECAST
9,7 388
TIERCE
9,7,2 2,612
TRIO
2,7,9 361
FIRST 4
2,7,9,12 870
QUARTET
9,7,2,12 26,285
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 32.5
5TH DOUBLE
9/7 73.5
9/9 1,459.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,6/3,9,13/2,7,9 4,989,607
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,6/3,9,13/Any Combination 5,147