沙田 · 2021-02-21
第 10場
2021-02-21沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、J Size訓練的TEMPEST EXPRESS勝出，贏出HD。FLAGSHIP GLORY獲得亞軍；BELUGA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門FLAGSHIP GLORY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TEMPEST EXPRESS 後段發力 E/TT 1.21.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 7.7 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | FLAGSHIP GLORY 後段發力 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 3.6 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | BELUGA 後段發力 H Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | STOICISM 後段發力 B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 8 | 218.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | LEWIS 後段發力 B/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | PRIME MINISTER TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | PERFECT PAIR 後段發力 SR A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 12 | 58.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | WINNING FOR ALL 後段發力 B/H/XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | TELECOM FIGHTERS K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 6.4 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | SEVEN HEAVENS 早段領放 V/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 5 | 64.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 2 | 41.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 4 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 14 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | MERIDIAN GENIUS CP M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 6 | 36.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLAGSHIP GLORY | 23.8% | 4.21 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | BELUGA | 20.7% | 4.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 8.4% | 11.97 | 13 |
| 4 | 7 | PRIME MINISTER | 8.0% | 12.54 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 6.8% | 14.65 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 6.8% | 14.80 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 4.9% | 20.61 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | WINNING FOR ALL | 4.5% | 22.28 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | LEWIS | 3.9% | 25.95 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | PERFECT PAIR | 3.8% | 26.47 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 2.9% | 33.97 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 2.9% | 34.30 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 2.3% | 43.81 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | STOICISM | 0.5% | 186.74 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 77
PLACE
4 18.5
5 24
10 21
QUINELLA
4,5 203.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 78.5
4,10 51.5
5,10 70
FORECAST
5,4 542
TIERCE
5,4,10 2,747
TRIO
4,5,10 308
FIRST 4
4,5,9,10 9,668
QUARTET
5,4,10,9 181,679
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 26.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,10/4,5,10 3,005,842
9TH DOUBLE
6/4 228
6/5 3,000.5
SIX UP
3,9/7,9/1,3/7,11/6,10/4,5 40,094
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
7/6/4 4,789
7/6/5 34,968