Sha Tin · 2021-02-21
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT 1.21.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 7.7 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | FLAGSHIP GLORY Closed strongly J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 3.6 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | BELUGA Closed strongly H Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STOICISM Closed strongly B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 8 | 218.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LEWIS Closed strongly B/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly SR A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 12 | 58.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING FOR ALL Closed strongly B/H/XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 6.4 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SEVEN HEAVENS Led early V/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 5 | 64.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 2 | 41.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 4 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 14 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | MERIDIAN GENIUS CP M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 6 | 36.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-21 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TEMPEST EXPRESS, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by HD, with FLAGSHIP GLORY second and BELUGA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite FLAGSHIP GLORY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLAGSHIP GLORY | 23.8% | 4.21 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BELUGA | 20.7% | 4.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 8.4% | 11.97 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 8.0% | 12.54 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 6.8% | 14.65 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 6.8% | 14.80 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 4.9% | 20.61 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING FOR ALL | 4.5% | 22.28 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | LEWIS | 3.9% | 25.95 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 3.8% | 26.47 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 2.9% | 33.97 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 2.9% | 34.30 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 2.3% | 43.81 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | STOICISM | 0.5% | 186.74 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 77
PLACE
4 18.5
5 24
10 21
QUINELLA
4,5 203.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 78.5
4,10 51.5
5,10 70
FORECAST
5,4 542
TIERCE
5,4,10 2,747
TRIO
4,5,10 308
FIRST 4
4,5,9,10 9,668
QUARTET
5,4,10,9 181,679
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 26.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,10/4,5,10 3,005,842
9TH DOUBLE
6/4 228
6/5 3,000.5
SIX UP
3,9/7,9/1,3/7,11/6,10/4,5 40,094
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
7/6/4 4,789
7/6/5 34,968