Sha Tin · 2021-02-21
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VUKAN Closed strongly 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 8 | 9.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | UNICORNBABY B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 12 | 36.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY Led early Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER HERO XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 13 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARGE ON Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 162.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART CHARADE Closed strongly B/H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | STEEL WIN A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BRILLIANT CHINA CP/TT T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 9 | 176.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | ORIENTAL AMIGO B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 1 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | CASA KINGDOM XB B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 27.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. VUKAN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with CHARITY GRACE second and BREEZE OF SPRING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite CHARITY GRACE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 33.1% | 3.02 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE | 16.6% | 6.01 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | CHARGE ON | 13.4% | 7.48 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 7.7% | 12.98 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | VUKAN | 6.2% | 16.16 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE | 5.7% | 17.49 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 3.9% | 25.55 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY | 3.7% | 27.10 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART CHARADE | 3.4% | 29.47 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | UNICORNBABY | 1.8% | 55.71 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CASA KINGDOM | 1.6% | 62.82 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 1.2% | 84.64 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | STEEL WIN | 0.9% | 114.02 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 0.8% | 127.33 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 135
PLACE
3 11
9 30
13 25
QUINELLA
3,9 146
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 58
3,13 40
9,13 136.5
FORECAST
9,3 489
TIERCE
9,3,13 2,442
TRIO
3,9,13 367
FIRST 4
3,8,9,13 2,673
QUARTET
9,3,13,8 72,121
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 29.5
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/3 19.5
5/9 1,049