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Sha Tin · 2021-02-21

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 2000m Course A+3 7 runners

Result

Official · 2.00.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 2.00.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 1.3 SH
2 0 FURORE Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 3 7.0 SH
3 0 EXULTANT XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 2 5.4 1-1/4
4 0 GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K W Lui 7 18.0 2-1/4
5 0 TIME WARP Led early TT K C Leung · A S Cruz 1 37.0 9-1/4
6 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 5 43.0 9-1/2
7 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT A Badel · C S Shum 6 30.0 10-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-21 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with FURORE second and EXULTANT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. FURORE+0.1L3. EXULTANT+1.25L4. GLORIOUS DRAGON+2.25L5. TIME WARP+9.25L6. COLUMBUS COUNTY+9.5L7. PLAYA DEL PUENTE+10.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (34.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 34.7% 2.88 1
2 0 FURORE 28.7% 3.48 2
3 0 EXULTANT 25.9% 3.86 3
4 0 GLORIOUS DRAGON 5.4% 18.56 4
5 0 COLUMBUS COUNTY 2.0% 51.06 6
6 0 TIME WARP 1.8% 54.99 5
7 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE 1.5% 67.70 7
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonFUROREEXULTANTGLORIOUS DRAGONCOLUMBUS COUNTYTIME WARPPLAYA DEL PUENTE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 13.5

PLACE

1 10.1

2 11.5

3 13.5

QUINELLA

1,3 35.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 13

1,3 15.5

2,3 20

FORECAST

1,3 47

TIERCE

1,3,2 73

TRIO

1,2,3 21

FIRST 4

1,2,3,7 29

QUARTET

1,3,2,7 198

All pools (4 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,9/1,2,3 1,442

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 13.5

6TH DOUBLE

9/1 159

9/3 131.5

WINNING TRAINER

B1 12.5

B2 —

B3 —