Sha Tin · 2021-02-21
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT 1.47.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 4.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 8.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | FAST PACE Closed strongly H N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 7 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PLAY WISE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 31.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 5 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLETPROOF B-/TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE Closed strongly V-/B2/SR2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 14 | 9.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly CP J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 10 | 4.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 37.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | JIMMU SR V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 6 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CABLE SPEED C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 8 | 181.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | STAR OF RED Led early TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 177.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 1 | 63.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-21 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PAKISTAN FRIEND, ridden by T Piccone and trained by W Y So, won by N, with JOYFUL HEART second and FAST PACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite EZRA finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXALTATION | 18.7% | 5.33 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | FAST PACE | 17.6% | 5.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | EZRA | 15.6% | 6.39 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 8.9% | 11.26 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 8.3% | 11.99 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 6.0% | 16.70 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 5.8% | 17.30 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.5% | 18.19 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 5.2% | 19.37 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | JIMMU | 3.1% | 32.56 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK | 2.8% | 35.65 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 1.2% | 85.64 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 0.7% | 136.07 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | STAR OF RED | 0.5% | 182.51 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 48.5
PLACE
2 24
5 19
6 27.5
QUINELLA
5,6 225.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 73
2,6 92.5
5,6 87.5
FORECAST
5,6 405
TIERCE
5,6,2 2,523
TRIO
2,5,6 635
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 3,453
QUARTET
5,6,2,7 54,215
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/2,5,6 21,079
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 21.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/5 130.5
2/6 57.5