Sha Tin · 2021-02-21
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-21 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. PANFIELD, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A T Millard, won by 1/2, with FLYING QUEST second and RELIABLE TEAM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PANFIELD Closed strongly TT 2.01.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 1 | 1.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | RELIABLE TEAM Led early CP-/V1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 5.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM Closed strongly CP/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | GLORIOUS ARTIST C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 35.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | ASSIMILATE B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 11.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PANFIELD | 41.7% | 2.40 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 10.4% | 9.62 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD | 9.6% | 10.45 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | CHARITY GO | 9.3% | 10.77 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 8.5% | 11.73 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | RELIABLE TEAM | 8.4% | 11.88 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | ASSIMILATE | 5.5% | 18.30 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING QUEST | 4.5% | 22.47 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 2.2% | 45.63 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 18.5
PLACE
4 42.5
6 40.5
8 10.5
QUINELLA
6,8 186
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 225
4,8 57
6,8 64
FORECAST
8,6 239
TIERCE
8,6,4 2,156
TRIO
4,6,8 611
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 604
QUARTET
8,6,4,7 8,370
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/6 132
3/8 135
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13.5
A2 —