跑馬地 · 2021-04-28
第 2場
2021-04-28跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C W Chang訓練的FAMILY FOLKS勝出，贏出1。TELECOM SMART獲得亞軍；NOIR RIDER獲得季軍。頭馬以4.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS CP1 1.09.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 6 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | TELECOM SMART XB-/TT1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | NOIR RIDER R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 2 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | BLISSFUL STAR H1/TT1 Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | STREET SCREAM H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 9.8 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | AMAZEMENT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 6.4 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | MUDITA B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 4.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 43.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER FLAMES M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 7 | 177.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | THE ELITES TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 110.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | COBY OPPA CP/XB1/TT2 T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 11 | 101.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BLISSFUL STAR | 18.0% | 5.55 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | MUDITA | 16.6% | 6.02 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | TELECOM SMART | 15.9% | 6.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS | 12.0% | 8.34 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 10.9% | 9.20 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | AMAZEMENT | 10.7% | 9.36 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | STREET SCREAM | 5.0% | 20.06 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.14 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | COBY OPPA | 2.6% | 37.77 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | NOIR RIDER | 1.9% | 53.24 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.8% | 54.50 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | THE ELITES | 1.3% | 76.49 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 45
PLACE
1 17.5
2 17.5
3 21
QUINELLA
1,2 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 50
1,3 59
2,3 76.5
FORECAST
1,2 230
TIERCE
1,2,3 1,630
TRIO
1,2,3 285
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 762
QUARTET
1,2,3,5 13,327
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
9/1 159.5
9/2 24
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 24.5