跑馬地 · 2021-04-28
第 9場
2021-04-28跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的HARMONY AND RICH勝出，贏出1-3/4。LARSON獲得亞軍；HEART CONQUERED獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門BRILLIANT FORTUNE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARMONY AND RICH 0.57.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | LARSON CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | HEART CONQUERED H T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 4 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | BRILLIANT FORTUNE J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | HARRIER JET B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | FALCON TURBO B/XB H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 3 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 12 | 56.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER AXIOM H-/XB/SR1/TT C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 2 | 3.9 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 53.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | NORDIC WELLSTAR SR1 C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 10 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 11 | 78.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | ELON P1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 41.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BRILLIANT FORTUNE | 33.5% | 2.98 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | LARSON | 18.8% | 5.32 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | HEART CONQUERED | 8.0% | 12.48 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER AXIOM | 7.0% | 14.38 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | HARRIER JET | 5.9% | 16.99 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | NORDIC WELLSTAR | 5.9% | 17.06 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 4.4% | 22.84 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 4.2% | 24.00 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | ELON | 4.2% | 24.09 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | FALCON TURBO | 3.4% | 29.75 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | HARMONY AND RICH | 3.3% | 30.33 | 1 |
| 12 | 11 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 1.6% | 62.44 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 105.5
PLACE
1 31.5
2 16.5
5 46.5
QUINELLA
1,2 236
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 77
1,5 293
2,5 130
FORECAST
1,2 600
TIERCE
1,2,5 8,367
TRIO
1,2,5 1,061
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 629
QUARTET
1,2,5,4 24,125
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 33.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,11/1,2,5 37,228
8TH DOUBLE
5/1 594
5/2 42.5
SIX UP
1,2/7,8/3,4,5/8,9/5,10/1,2 17,769
2/7/3/8/5/1 6,727,454
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
8/5/1 3,843
8/5/2 386