Happy Valley · 2021-04-28
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS CP1 1.09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 6 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TELECOM SMART XB-/TT1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | NOIR RIDER R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 2 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR H1/TT1 Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | STREET SCREAM H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 9.8 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZEMENT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 6.4 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | MUDITA B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 4.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 43.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 7 | 177.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | THE ELITES TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 110.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | COBY OPPA CP/XB1/TT2 T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 11 | 101.0 | 13-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-28 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FAMILY FOLKS, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C W Chang, won by 1, with TELECOM SMART second and NOIR RIDER third. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 18.0% | 5.55 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | MUDITA | 16.6% | 6.02 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | TELECOM SMART | 15.9% | 6.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS | 12.0% | 8.34 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 10.9% | 9.20 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZEMENT | 10.7% | 9.36 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | STREET SCREAM | 5.0% | 20.06 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.14 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | COBY OPPA | 2.6% | 37.77 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | NOIR RIDER | 1.9% | 53.24 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.8% | 54.50 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | THE ELITES | 1.3% | 76.49 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 45
PLACE
1 17.5
2 17.5
3 21
QUINELLA
1,2 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 50
1,3 59
2,3 76.5
FORECAST
1,2 230
TIERCE
1,2,3 1,630
TRIO
1,2,3 285
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 762
QUARTET
1,2,3,5 13,327
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/1 159.5
9/2 24
3 PICK 1
A1 24.5
A3 —
A2 —