Happy Valley · 2021-04-28
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FA FA Closed strongly TT1 1.39.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 9.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION Closed strongly B- J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 12 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | PIANO SOLO Closed strongly Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 7.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly XB A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP Led early B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | NUNCHUKS Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TOYCOON M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DAZZLING FEELING Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 11 | 76.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 5 | 5.8 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | GRAND POWER Closed strongly H H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 181.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KING DRAGON V/XB K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 11.0 | 17-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FA FA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with PEARL CHAMPION second and PIANO SOLO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite TOYCOON finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PIANO SOLO | 19.1% | 5.25 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 15.2% | 6.59 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 11.9% | 8.37 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TOYCOON | 8.7% | 11.53 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 8.5% | 11.74 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 8.1% | 12.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 6.9% | 14.48 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 6.1% | 16.38 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | FA FA | 6.0% | 16.77 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 5.6% | 17.91 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | DAZZLING FEELING | 2.9% | 34.11 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 1.0% | 97.22 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 98.5
PLACE
1 27.5
7 33
8 26.5
QUINELLA
7,8 356
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 125
1,8 108
7,8 136
FORECAST
7,8 931
TIERCE
7,8,1 6,077
TRIO
1,7,8 1,016
FIRST 4
1,3,7,8 2,006
QUARTET
7,8,1,3 53,884
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,11/1,7,8 96,550
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 18.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/7 637
2/8 146