Happy Valley · 2021-04-28
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND Closed strongly B 1.40.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 6 | 5.3 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN Led early XB C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 3 | 5.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 9 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 7.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | KA FORTUNE B R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY GEM TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 2 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS B-/XB/TT1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 42.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly SR/XB/CP1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TAILOR MADE V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 7.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 38.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | AFRICAN SKY B/TT- M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 11 | 165.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-28 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SWOT TROOPERS WIND, ridden by K C Leung and trained by D J Hall, won by NOSE, with MANNA FROM HEAVEN second and NITRO EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.0 favourite MANNA FROM HEAVEN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 23.2% | 4.30 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 11.2% | 8.90 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 11.2% | 8.90 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 10.6% | 9.39 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 9.5% | 10.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 7.3% | 13.61 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | KA FORTUNE | 6.7% | 14.91 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 5.3% | 18.74 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 5.2% | 19.38 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS | 3.8% | 26.53 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 3.4% | 29.11 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | AFRICAN SKY | 2.4% | 41.03 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 53
PLACE
1 18.5
2 16.5
11 25.5
QUINELLA
1,2 149
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 59
1,11 67
2,11 69.5
FORECAST
2,1 340
TIERCE
2,1,11 2,062
TRIO
1,2,11 392
FIRST 4
1,2,5,11 605
QUARTET
2,1,11,5 13,865
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 37.5
7/2 285