Happy Valley · 2021-04-28
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS Closed strongly B 2.15.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION Led early A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.2 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H/CP1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 44.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | NUREMBERG B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE CP- H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 5 | 57.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WIND GLIDER Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 3 | 9.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 9 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN P C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 14.0 | 15 |
| 12 | 0 | PLAY WISE B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 18 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-28 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DONC JE SUIS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by SH, with BRIGHT VISION second and BULLISH GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS | 36.2% | 2.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION | 11.8% | 8.44 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 10.5% | 9.51 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | NUREMBERG | 7.1% | 14.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 6.6% | 15.06 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 5.7% | 17.61 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 5.3% | 18.72 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | WIND GLIDER | 4.7% | 21.13 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 4.5% | 22.28 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 2.7% | 37.30 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 2.5% | 40.75 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 2.3% | 43.24 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 38.5
PLACE
6 15.5
7 17.5
12 109.5
QUINELLA
6,7 87
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 40
6,12 314.5
7,12 238
FORECAST
7,6 202
TIERCE
7,6,12 3,247
TRIO
6,7,12 1,125
FIRST 4
6,7,9,12 1,337
QUARTET
7,6,12,9 22,469
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/6 37.5
1/7 130
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 24