Happy Valley · 2021-04-28
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE Led early A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FAST PACE H M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 3.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FARSHAD Closed strongly CP K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 30.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | TASHIDELEK Closed strongly B T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 10 | 69.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE Closed strongly CP Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 6.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT Closed strongly C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 8 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VILLA FIONN B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 5 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY B B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 3 | 60.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY B1 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 4 | 105.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-04-28 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HELENE WISDOM STAR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with EXCEPTIONAL NICE second and FAST PACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 31.0% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FAST PACE | 20.3% | 4.93 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | FARSHAD | 11.4% | 8.75 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 10.8% | 9.26 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 8.1% | 12.29 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 5.5% | 18.17 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.7% | 21.13 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 3.7% | 27.33 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | TASHIDELEK | 1.8% | 54.93 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 1.6% | 62.83 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY | 1.0% | 100.01 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 32
PLACE
5 14
10 22.5
11 14
QUINELLA
5,10 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 47
5,11 25
10,11 38
FORECAST
5,10 231
TIERCE
5,10,11 532
TRIO
5,10,11 118
FIRST 4
4,5,10,11 160
QUARTET
5,10,11,4 2,631
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
8/5 388.5
8/10 184