跑馬地 · 2021-05-26
第 7場
2021-05-26跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的DANCING FIGHTER勝出，贏出2-1/4。HARMONY N BLESSED獲得亞軍；LARSON獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DANCING FIGHTER B/TT 0.56.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | LARSON CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | HEART CONQUERED H- T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 10 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 1 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | SIMPLY FLUKE CP-/H-/XB/B1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | HAPPY LAND TT1 R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 3 | 60.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | WILD WEST WING A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | EUROMISSILE CP/XB/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 7 | 78.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | GENTLE BREEZE H H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 55.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE V/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 4 | 41.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 25.7% | 3.89 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | DANCING FIGHTER | 21.6% | 4.62 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 14.1% | 7.08 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | LARSON | 11.7% | 8.56 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 8.3% | 11.98 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | HEART CONQUERED | 5.2% | 19.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | WILD WEST WING | 5.2% | 19.38 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.5% | 28.30 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPY LAND | 2.1% | 48.13 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | GENTLE BREEZE | 1.9% | 51.57 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | EUROMISSILE | 0.6% | 160.75 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 28
PLACE
2 18
3 14.5
5 16
QUINELLA
3,5 84
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 39.5
2,5 41
3,5 34
FORECAST
3,5 160
TIERCE
3,5,2 545
TRIO
2,3,5 113
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 262
QUARTET
3,5,2,6 3,433
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,6/2,3,5 3,524
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/3 536.5
4/5 97.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,6,12/3,4,6/2,3,5 29,800
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,6,12/3,4,6/Any Combination 596