跑馬地 · 2021-05-26
第 9場
2021-05-26跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、A T Millard訓練的SPARKLING DRAGON勝出，贏出N。LOVING A BOOM獲得亞軍；EXUBERANT獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門MAJESTIC STAR跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT 1.09.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 7.7 | N |
| 3 | 12 | EXUBERANT B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SKY SHOW B-/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 2 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | NOBLE STEED B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 10 | 110.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | RED TITAN B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 12 | 101.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP-/XB1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART LEADER B/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 7 | 82.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | MAJESTIC STAR J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 4 | 2.8 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | WINE AND WINE TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 9 | 18.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MAJESTIC STAR | 32.2% | 3.10 | 11 |
| 2 | 12 | EXUBERANT | 14.2% | 7.02 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM | 11.9% | 8.42 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 11.6% | 8.61 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | SKY SHOW | 9.3% | 10.78 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE | 5.1% | 19.42 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 4.8% | 20.67 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 3.3% | 30.02 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | RED TITAN | 3.0% | 33.42 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | WINE AND WINE | 2.6% | 39.08 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | NOBLE STEED | 1.2% | 86.78 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | SMART LEADER | 0.7% | 135.65 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 174
PLACE
1 22
2 41.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
1,2 463
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 136
1,12 54.5
2,12 131
FORECAST
2,1 1,184
TIERCE
2,1,12 6,744
TRIO
1,2,12 863
FIRST 4
1,2,3,12 1,354
QUARTET
2,1,12,3 38,553
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 40.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,12/1,2,12 6,693
8TH DOUBLE
12/1 50.5
12/2 677
SIX UP
1,4/2,12/3,4/3,5/3,4,12/1,2 2,333
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
3/12/1 206
3/12/2 3,404