跑馬地 · 2021-06-02
第 3場
2021-06-02跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的RED BRICK FIGHTER勝出，贏出1-1/4。ISLAND SHINE獲得亞軍；HERO STAR獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門HERO STAR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B 1.09.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | ISLAND SHINE B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | HERO STAR TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | VIVA CHEF V-/B2 A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 6 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY WIN WIN B1/TT T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 12 | 61.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | BEAUTY CHEERS E/P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 5.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | AQUILA V C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 2 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GIVE WAY PLEASE SR/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 5 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | ORIENTAL AMIGO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 63.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 21.8% | 4.58 | 8 |
| 2 | 5 | HERO STAR | 14.3% | 7.02 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 13.0% | 7.71 | 11 |
| 4 | 2 | ISLAND SHINE | 12.7% | 7.85 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 10.6% | 9.47 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 8.0% | 12.50 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | VIVA CHEF | 4.0% | 24.84 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | AQUILA | 4.0% | 24.89 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 3.8% | 26.17 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 3.7% | 26.87 | 1 |
| 11 | 8 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 2.5% | 40.30 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 1.6% | 63.64 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 211.5
PLACE
2 15.5
5 14
11 56.5
QUINELLA
2,11 373.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 28.5
2,11 119.5
5,11 126.5
FORECAST
11,2 858
TIERCE
11,2,5 4,043
TRIO
2,5,11 388
FIRST 4
2,5,11,12 1,221
QUARTET
11,2,5,12 44,687
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/2 13
2/11 517
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 31
A2 —