跑馬地 · 2021-06-02
第 8場
2021-06-02跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、D J Whyte訓練的SIMPLY FLUKE勝出，贏出3/4。H Z TOURBILLON獲得亞軍；KA YING MASTER獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門RHAPSODY跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SIMPLY FLUKE B/XB 1.09.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | H Z TOURBILLON TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | KA YING MASTER B-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | KINDA COOL B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | MR COLOURFUL CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SHOUSON B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 12 | 52.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | THE MULTIPLIER B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 11 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | STANLEY PARK B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 10 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 4 | 81.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | PERFECT GLORY C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 4.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RHAPSODY | 23.7% | 4.22 | 12 |
| 2 | 9 | FAMILY FOLKS | 14.1% | 7.07 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | KINDA COOL | 12.4% | 8.08 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | H Z TOURBILLON | 11.3% | 8.86 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | KA YING MASTER | 7.8% | 12.85 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | MR COLOURFUL | 6.7% | 14.89 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | PERFECT GLORY | 6.0% | 16.70 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 5.6% | 17.76 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | STANLEY PARK | 4.5% | 22.18 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | SKYEY SUPREME | 3.4% | 29.14 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | SHOUSON | 2.5% | 40.12 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | THE MULTIPLIER | 2.0% | 50.74 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 122
PLACE
1 54
10 33
11 17
QUINELLA
10,11 276
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 290.5
1,11 163
10,11 97
FORECAST
10,11 665
TIERCE
10,11,1 10,406
TRIO
1,10,11 1,747
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 1,705
QUARTET
10,11,1,2 44,972
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 29.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
9/10 937
9/11 93