跑馬地 · 2021-06-02
第 5場
2021-06-02跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的HARRIER JET勝出，贏出SH。FORTUNE CARRIER獲得亞軍；HAPPY GATHERING獲得季軍。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARRIER JET B 1.10.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 4.2 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | FORTUNE CARRIER B C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 6 | 5.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | HAPPY GATHERING B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B-/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | JAZZ STEED B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | NOBLE DESIRE SR/XB M F Poon · D J Whyte | M F Poon | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | LITTLE PLAYER CP C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 9 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | NOIR RIDER R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 2 | 6.1 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | BULLISH UNICORN CP/H/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 8 | 43.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | DRAGON KINGDOM H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 51.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 11 | 6.8 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NOBLE DESIRE | 16.4% | 6.11 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | NOIR RIDER | 15.2% | 6.57 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | HARRIER JET | 15.2% | 6.58 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | FORTUNE HERO | 14.4% | 6.94 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | HAPPY GATHERING | 10.1% | 9.88 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 8.8% | 11.34 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | JAZZ STEED | 7.1% | 14.10 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | LITTLE PLAYER | 6.4% | 15.62 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 2.3% | 42.86 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 1.5% | 64.84 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 1.3% | 74.96 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | BULLISH UNICORN | 1.1% | 87.31 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 42.5
PLACE
1 17
8 18.5
10 47.5
QUINELLA
1,8 100
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 41.5
1,10 124
8,10 141
FORECAST
1,8 204
TIERCE
1,8,10 2,437
TRIO
1,8,10 510
FIRST 4
1,8,10,12 3,599
QUARTET
1,8,10,12 46,667
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,10/1,8,10 24,994
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 23
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/1 248.5
10/8 44.5