跑馬地 · 2021-09-15
第 4場
2021-09-15跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、C S Shum訓練的BALTIC WHISPER勝出，贏出1-1/4。HAPPY TANGO獲得亞軍；NUNCHUKS獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門FIRE BALL跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BALTIC WHISPER TT 1.09.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 3 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | NUNCHUKS TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 9 | 79.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 7 | 6.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | TRAVEL GLORY B1 A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 6 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | FIRE BALL TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 2.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 9.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 12 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | LITTLE PLAYER CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT B- H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 10 | 187.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | RED BRICK GLORY H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 11 | 62.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | PARTY GENIUS CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FIRE BALL | 28.9% | 3.45 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | PARTY GENIUS | 14.8% | 6.78 | 12 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY TANGO | 14.6% | 6.85 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 8.0% | 12.47 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | HERO STAR | 7.5% | 13.30 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 7.3% | 13.70 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | TRAVEL GLORY | 5.5% | 18.07 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | BALTIC WHISPER | 3.4% | 29.16 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | NUNCHUKS | 3.2% | 31.06 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | LITTLE PLAYER | 2.9% | 34.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT | 2.8% | 35.83 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | RED BRICK GLORY | 1.0% | 100.51 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 78.5
PLACE
3 20.5
6 172
10 22.5
QUINELLA
3,10 249.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 628
3,10 76.5
6,10 780
FORECAST
10,3 580
TIERCE
10,3,6 25,890
TRIO
3,6,10 6,305
FIRST 4
3,6,7,10 8,608
QUARTET
10,3,6,7 213,507
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/3,6,10 1,861,255
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 29
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/3 46.5
5/10 1,161