跑馬地 · 2021-09-15
第 8場
2021-09-15跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的HARMONY AND RICH勝出，贏出2。HANDSOME BO BO獲得亞軍；GOLDEN DASH獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門SIGHT SUCCESS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH 1.08.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SIGHT SUCCESS E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 3.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SHINING GEM CP K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | AMAZING ONE PLUS XB/P1/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 12 | 64.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | LOVING A BOOM TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 5 | 5.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | IGNITING B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 4.5 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | MAN STAR V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 3 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | SCORES OF FUN TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 29.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | DECRYPT XB- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 19.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | IGNITING | 24.7% | 4.05 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 23.6% | 4.24 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | LOVING A BOOM | 11.4% | 8.79 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | MAN STAR | 7.3% | 13.78 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | SHINING GEM | 6.7% | 14.94 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART | 6.4% | 15.53 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | HARMONY AND RICH | 5.3% | 18.94 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | DECRYPT | 3.4% | 29.55 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO | 3.3% | 30.06 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN DASH | 2.9% | 34.67 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 2.6% | 39.01 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | SCORES OF FUN | 2.5% | 39.79 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 210
PLACE
2 30.5
4 58
5 59
QUINELLA
2,4 1,100
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 303
2,5 280.5
4,5 608
FORECAST
4,2 2,054
TIERCE
4,2,5 32,288
TRIO
2,4,5 7,603
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 9,035
QUARTET
4,2,5,12 256,277
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 31.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,9/2,4,5 1,118,242
7TH DOUBLE
2/2 384.5
2/4 3,518
SIX UP
5,6/3,10/7,10/9,10/2,9/2,4 18,717
5/10/10/9/2/4 2,474,763
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
9/2/2 913
9/2/4 6,359