沙田 · 2021-10-27
第 4場
2021-10-27沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由R Maia策騎、K L Man訓練的MAGIC SUPREME勝出，贏出2-1/2。EVERYONE'S VICTORY獲得亞軍；VALIANT ELEGANCE獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門SUPER MISSION跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT 1.09.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 12 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | STEEL WIN K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 8 | 6.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | YOUNG VICTORY TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER MISSION TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 3.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 2 | 8.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | INGENIOUS FELLOW B/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 6 | 148.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | JOYFUL GENIUS M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 51.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | AQUILA V-/XB1 L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 7.7 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO B K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 14.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS B1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 111.0 | 24 |
| — | 0 | MASTER AQUA Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STEEL WIN | 18.0% | 5.57 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 16.7% | 5.98 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER MISSION | 14.0% | 7.17 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 11.2% | 8.94 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO | 9.4% | 10.65 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 8.6% | 11.63 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | YOUNG VICTORY | 7.2% | 13.89 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 5.9% | 17.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | AQUILA | 4.4% | 22.97 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | MAGIC SUPREME | 2.7% | 36.62 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS | 1.1% | 87.38 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 0.9% | 110.07 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 194.5
PLACE
1 52.5
7 21.5
8 42
QUINELLA
1,7 673.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 194
1,8 319
7,8 139.5
FORECAST
1,7 2,464
TIERCE
1,7,8 13,462
TRIO
1,7,8 1,946
FIRST 4
1,4,7,8 2,636
QUARTET
1,7,8,4 103,186
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,12/1,7,8 216,534
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 29.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
12/1 3,395
12/7 115.5