Sha Tin · 2021-10-27
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT 1.09.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 12 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STEEL WIN K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 8 | 6.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER MISSION TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 3.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B/BR M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 2 | 8.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | INGENIOUS FELLOW B/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 6 | 148.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 51.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | AQUILA V-/XB1 L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 7.7 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO B K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 14.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS B1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 111.0 | 24 |
| — | 0 | MASTER AQUA Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-27 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MAGIC SUPREME, ridden by R Maia and trained by K L Man, won by 2-1/2, with EVERYONE'S VICTORY second and VALIANT ELEGANCE third. The 3.0 favourite SUPER MISSION finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STEEL WIN | 18.0% | 5.57 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 16.7% | 5.98 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER MISSION | 14.0% | 7.17 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 11.2% | 8.94 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO | 9.4% | 10.65 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 8.6% | 11.63 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 7.2% | 13.89 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 5.9% | 17.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | AQUILA | 4.4% | 22.97 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME | 2.7% | 36.62 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS | 1.1% | 87.38 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 0.9% | 110.07 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 194.5
PLACE
1 52.5
7 21.5
8 42
QUINELLA
1,7 673.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 194
1,8 319
7,8 139.5
FORECAST
1,7 2,464
TIERCE
1,7,8 13,462
TRIO
1,7,8 1,946
FIRST 4
1,4,7,8 2,636
QUARTET
1,7,8,4 103,186
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,12/1,7,8 216,534
3 PICK 1
A3 29.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
12/1 3,395
12/7 115.5