Sha Tin · 2021-10-27
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT 1.49.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 36.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly B K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER FAST Closed strongly XB/CP2 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 1.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT B/XB B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 6 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 55.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Led early PC K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 8 | 6.6 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART FOLKS A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 4 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly V C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 13 | 18.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly P H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 25.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | OH BRAVO TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 7 | 9.5 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | YES WE CAN TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 24.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH B/TT L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 2 | 43.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-27 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. PARTY EVERYDAY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with VICTORIOUS SEEKER second and DOUBLE TAKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite SUPER FAST finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER FAST | 48.9% | 2.04 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE | 7.0% | 14.27 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 6.2% | 16.18 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 5.4% | 18.37 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 5.3% | 18.74 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 5.0% | 19.86 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 4.7% | 21.06 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 4.3% | 23.23 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 3.3% | 30.27 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 2.7% | 36.47 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 2.6% | 37.87 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 2.5% | 40.51 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 1.8% | 54.25 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 111
PLACE
1 40.5
3 29
7 99.5
QUINELLA
3,7 2,261.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 165
1,7 739
3,7 566.5
FORECAST
3,7 3,618
TIERCE
3,7,1 41,380
TRIO
1,3,7 3,799
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 3,057
QUARTET
3,7,1,2 126,348
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 2,386.5
1/7 1,392.5