Sha Tin · 2021-10-27
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-27 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. THE ELITES, ridden by V Borges and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with RUN RUN GOOD second and GENERAL TRUMP third. The 4.6 favourite AMAZING KNIGHT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | THE ELITES TT 1.09.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 7 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | RUN RUN GOOD B L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 4 | 21.0 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 10 | 5.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | AMAZING KNIGHT P Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 4.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FOREVER CITY TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | QIPAO BOSS A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 7.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HOLYSHOWCASING B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 3 | 8.7 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | SMILING FACE B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 35.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD B2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 12 | 13.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | DRAGON KINGDOM B1 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 6.1 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | ALL THE WAY H-/CP1/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 5 | 47.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | TIGERLAD B/TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 1 | 31.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 18.7% | 5.35 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 16.8% | 5.97 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | GENERAL TRUMP | 12.2% | 8.19 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | QIPAO BOSS | 12.0% | 8.34 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | THE ELITES | 7.5% | 13.35 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | RUN RUN GOOD | 6.9% | 14.54 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | FOREVER CITY | 6.3% | 15.75 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 5.9% | 17.04 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | SMILING FACE | 4.9% | 20.37 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | ALL THE WAY | 3.1% | 32.74 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | TIGERLAD | 2.9% | 34.00 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 2.8% | 35.19 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 103
PLACE
6 19
7 55
11 32
QUINELLA
7,11 1,185.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 180
6,11 71.5
7,11 317
FORECAST
11,7 1,580
TIERCE
11,7,6 10,383
TRIO
6,7,11 1,532
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 1,119
QUARTET
11,7,6,2 32,904
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —