Sha Tin · 2021-10-27
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-27 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. THUNDERSTRIKE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with JADE THEATRE second and LUCKY RUBY third. The 3.4 favourite SUNNY DELIGHT finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | THUNDERSTRIKE H/B1 1.09.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 1 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | JADE THEATRE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 28.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | GOLFMAN STAR H-/CP K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 12 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 3 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | POISED TO STRIKE CP-/TT C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 8 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | YOUNG THUNDER CP/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 95.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | AMAZING TEENS H/TT1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 31.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | BLOTTING PAPER B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 2 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BORDER CONTROL H1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.9 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 28.2% | 3.55 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | HANDSOME REBEL | 12.3% | 8.15 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 11.8% | 8.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | BORDER CONTROL | 11.1% | 9.00 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | BLOTTING PAPER | 7.2% | 13.82 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 6.0% | 16.64 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | GOLFMAN STAR | 5.7% | 17.62 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING TEENS | 5.5% | 18.18 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | POISED TO STRIKE | 4.0% | 24.75 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY RUBY | 3.2% | 31.37 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | JADE THEATRE | 3.1% | 32.03 | 2 |
| 12 | 6 | YOUNG THUNDER | 1.8% | 54.65 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 118.5
PLACE
10 55.5
11 33
12 60
QUINELLA
11,12 1,283
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 286.5
10,12 451
11,12 347.5
FORECAST
11,12 1,740
TIERCE
11,12,10 18,191
TRIO
10,11,12 4,748
FIRST 4
1,10,11,12 8,393
QUARTET
11,12,10,1 224,329
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,7/10,11,12 1,463,508
3 PICK 1
A3 20
A1 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/11 784
3/12 377.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,8/1,3,7/Any Combination 314,135