沙田 · 2021-10-27
第 6場
2021-10-27沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由C Y Ho策騎、D J Whyte訓練的THUNDERSTRIKE勝出，贏出1/2。JADE THEATRE獲得亞軍；LUCKY RUBY獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門SUNNY DELIGHT跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | THUNDERSTRIKE H/B1 1.09.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 1 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | JADE THEATRE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 28.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | GOLFMAN STAR H-/CP K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 12 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 3 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | POISED TO STRIKE CP-/TT C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 8 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | YOUNG THUNDER CP/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 95.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | AMAZING TEENS H/TT1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 31.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | BLOTTING PAPER B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 2 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BORDER CONTROL H1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.9 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 28.2% | 3.55 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | HANDSOME REBEL | 12.3% | 8.15 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 11.8% | 8.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | BORDER CONTROL | 11.1% | 9.00 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | BLOTTING PAPER | 7.2% | 13.82 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 6.0% | 16.64 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | GOLFMAN STAR | 5.7% | 17.62 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING TEENS | 5.5% | 18.18 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | POISED TO STRIKE | 4.0% | 24.75 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY RUBY | 3.2% | 31.37 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | JADE THEATRE | 3.1% | 32.03 | 2 |
| 12 | 6 | YOUNG THUNDER | 1.8% | 54.65 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 118.5
PLACE
10 55.5
11 33
12 60
QUINELLA
11,12 1,283
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 286.5
10,12 451
11,12 347.5
FORECAST
11,12 1,740
TIERCE
11,12,10 18,191
TRIO
10,11,12 4,748
FIRST 4
1,10,11,12 8,393
QUARTET
11,12,10,1 224,329
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,7/10,11,12 1,463,508
3 PICK 1
A3 20
A1 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/11 784
3/12 377.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,8/1,3,7/Any Combination 314,135