Sha Tin · 2021-10-27
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE Closed strongly XB/TT 1.38.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 9 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | ELITE PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 7.8 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 3.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLD COMET B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 7.1 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | THE HULK C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 39.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 19.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAR SLAM B- L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 6 | 13.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-27 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CHANCHENG PRINCE, ridden by R Maia and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with TRUE LEGEND second and SKYEY SUPREME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite GAMEPLAYER TIMES finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 18.3% | 5.47 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 16.5% | 6.05 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 15.1% | 6.62 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 11.8% | 8.46 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 8.4% | 11.91 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | ELITE PATCH | 6.8% | 14.81 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 6.3% | 15.80 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 4.6% | 21.58 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.6% | 21.74 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | THE HULK | 4.1% | 24.61 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 3.5% | 28.69 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 61.5
PLACE
3 23.5
7 16.5
8 61
QUINELLA
3,7 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 48
3,8 209.5
7,8 141
FORECAST
3,7 369
TIERCE
3,7,8 2,619
TRIO
3,7,8 604
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 1,270
QUARTET
3,7,8,4 23,267
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 26.5
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
11/3 588.5
11/7 98.5