跑馬地 · 2021-11-10
第 8場
2021-11-10跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的SCORES OF FUN勝出，贏出3/4。CALIFORNIA CONCORD獲得亞軍；FAMILY FOLKS獲得季軍。4.8倍大熱門FAMILY FOLKS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SCORES OF FUN TT 1.09.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 6 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MY ECSTATIC TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SOLID IMPACT C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 5 | 34.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | A LA KING B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 6.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TELECOM SMART B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 8.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | ASTROLOGER M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 2 | 50.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 8 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.1 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 11 | EXUBERANT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY | 27.4% | 3.65 | 11 |
| 2 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS | 12.8% | 7.79 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 10.5% | 9.48 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | TELECOM SMART | 10.3% | 9.70 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | MY ECSTATIC | 9.7% | 10.36 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | SCORES OF FUN | 8.8% | 11.33 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.7% | 12.93 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 7.5% | 13.42 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | A LA KING | 3.0% | 33.69 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | ASTROLOGER | 1.3% | 75.89 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | SOLID IMPACT | 1.0% | 101.54 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 130
PLACE
1 37
4 18
7 24.5
QUINELLA
1,7 472.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 101
1,7 143.5
4,7 74.5
FORECAST
1,7 1,026
TIERCE
1,7,4 5,295
TRIO
1,4,7 666
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 1,119
QUARTET
1,7,4,12 34,213
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 21
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 430
3/7 100