Happy Valley · 2021-11-10
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SCORES OF FUN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with CALIFORNIA CONCORD second and FAMILY FOLKS third. The 4.8 favourite FAMILY FOLKS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SCORES OF FUN TT 1.09.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 6 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MY ECSTATIC TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SOLID IMPACT C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 5 | 34.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | A LA KING B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 6.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TELECOM SMART B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 8.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | ASTROLOGER M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 2 | 50.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 8 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.1 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 11 | EXUBERANT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY | 27.4% | 3.65 | 11 |
| 2 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS | 12.8% | 7.79 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 10.5% | 9.48 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | TELECOM SMART | 10.3% | 9.70 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | MY ECSTATIC | 9.7% | 10.36 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | SCORES OF FUN | 8.8% | 11.33 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.7% | 12.93 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 7.5% | 13.42 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | A LA KING | 3.0% | 33.69 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | ASTROLOGER | 1.3% | 75.89 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | SOLID IMPACT | 1.0% | 101.54 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 130
PLACE
1 37
4 18
7 24.5
QUINELLA
1,7 472.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 101
1,7 143.5
4,7 74.5
FORECAST
1,7 1,026
TIERCE
1,7,4 5,295
TRIO
1,4,7 666
FIRST 4
1,4,7,12 1,119
QUARTET
1,7,4,12 34,213
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 21
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 430
3/7 100