Happy Valley · 2021-11-10
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON V-/B2/TT 1.10.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 8.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | XPONENTIAL B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | INFINITY WIN CP1/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY TIME TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 4 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TAKINGUFURTHER V H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 6 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART LEADER B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 12 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 3 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LORIZ B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD V/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 11 | 65.0 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PRANCE DRAGON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with XPONENTIAL second and CORDYCEPS ONE third. The 3.2 favourite INFINITY WIN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 26.7% | 3.75 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | INFINITY WIN | 16.8% | 5.94 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | XPONENTIAL | 8.6% | 11.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY TIME | 7.3% | 13.76 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH | 6.1% | 16.43 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | LORIZ | 6.0% | 16.80 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 5.5% | 18.12 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 4.3% | 23.35 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 3.6% | 27.86 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 2.0% | 50.61 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.8% | 55.56 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 85
PLACE
1 10.1
3 34.5
7 25
10 27.5
QUINELLA
3,7 466
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 37
1,7 22.5
1,10 72
3,7 134.5
3,10 62
7,10 90
FORECAST
7,3 781
TIERCE
7,3,1 1,419
7,3,10 2,981
TRIO
1,3,7 322
3,7,10 530
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 1,331
QUARTET
7,3,1,10 16,133
7,3,10,1 16,104
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/1,3,7 25,447
2,3,8/3,7,10 41,204
3 PICK 1
A1 32
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/3 54.5
8/7 266.5