Happy Valley · 2021-11-10
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 4 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL BABY J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 4.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B2/TT- C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHADOW RUNNER Led early TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 57.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | STAY CHILL Closed strongly CP M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY LAND XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 9.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PASSING FASHION Closed strongly TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 141.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 59.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | A A AGILITY B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 12 | 213.0 | 14-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. EVER LAUGH, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with LOYAL BABY second and KUNG FU TEA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite LOYAL BABY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 21.4% | 4.67 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY LAND | 19.0% | 5.26 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA | 16.4% | 6.10 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | STAY CHILL | 12.2% | 8.20 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 7.3% | 13.67 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | NEW FUTURE | 6.7% | 14.85 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 5.0% | 19.82 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 4.9% | 20.55 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | SHADOW RUNNER | 3.6% | 27.86 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 1.4% | 72.44 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | PASSING FASHION | 1.1% | 95.07 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | A A AGILITY | 1.0% | 99.51 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 80
PLACE
3 13.5
7 23.5
11 15.5
QUINELLA
3,7 108.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 43
3,11 28
7,11 58
FORECAST
7,3 351
TIERCE
7,3,11 1,036
TRIO
3,7,11 156
FIRST 4
3,7,8,11 346
QUARTET
7,3,11,8 8,470
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/3 23
1/7 518
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 35.5
A1 —