Happy Valley · 2021-11-10
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.9 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 23.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR Closed strongly B C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 6 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 51.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 3.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DURHAM STAR Closed strongly B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT Led early B K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 65.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | CASA DE FORCA B A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 1 | 24.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MING WARRIOR TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 7 | 21.0 | 56-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED MAJESTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by HD, with SHADOW BREAKER second and NORDIC WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite BREEZE OF SPRING finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 36.0% | 2.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 27.8% | 3.60 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 10.7% | 9.36 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | DURHAM STAR | 5.9% | 16.94 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 4.0% | 24.93 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 3.4% | 29.75 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 2.4% | 41.14 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | MING WARRIOR | 2.4% | 42.24 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | CASA DE FORCA | 2.3% | 42.95 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.2% | 45.62 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 2.0% | 49.42 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 0.9% | 111.39 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 39.5
PLACE
3 15.5
4 73
10 57.5
QUINELLA
3,10 419.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 188
3,10 130.5
4,10 792
FORECAST
3,10 537
TIERCE
3,10,4 9,546
TRIO
3,4,10 2,864
FIRST 4
3,4,10,11 3,346
QUARTET
3,10,4,11 53,019
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,9/3,4,10 113,537
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 21
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 119
2/10 132
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,7/2,3,9/Any Combination 3,109
3,7,10/2,3,9/Any Combination 4,929