Happy Valley · 2021-11-10
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. YOU'REMYEVERYTHING, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with DIAMOND BRILLIANT second and EXCELLENT CHARIOT third. The 4.8 favourite DIAMOND BRILLIANT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT1 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 4.8 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT B1/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | THE RUNNER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SPECIAL M B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 8.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | HARMONY N HOME C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HARRIER JET B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | JADE PHOENIX B A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 12 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ XB-/B B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 9 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GRACYLOVE M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 6.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | PERFECT GLORY TT1 C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 1 | 8.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SERGEANT PEPPER K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.7 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 19.3% | 5.17 | 12 |
| 2 | 2 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 15.1% | 6.61 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | GRACYLOVE | 10.7% | 9.35 | 10 |
| 4 | 9 | SPECIAL M | 10.3% | 9.67 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | JADE PHOENIX | 8.5% | 11.83 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | THE RUNNER | 8.3% | 12.11 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | PERFECT GLORY | 6.6% | 15.11 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 6.2% | 16.01 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | HARMONY N HOME | 6.1% | 16.43 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 3.6% | 27.78 | 1 |
| 11 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 3.5% | 28.78 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | HARRIER JET | 1.8% | 56.44 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 178
PLACE
2 17
6 24
10 73.5
QUINELLA
2,10 615
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 65.5
2,10 216
6,10 287
FORECAST
10,2 1,202
TIERCE
10,2,6 8,456
TRIO
2,6,10 1,719
FIRST 4
2,3,6,10 2,409
QUARTET
10,2,6,3 69,870
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 23
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,7>4,11/2,6,10 184,933
8TH DOUBLE
1/2 111.5
1/10 3,298.5
SIX UP
3,8/3,7/2,3/3,10/1,7/2,10 10,180
8/7/2/3/1/10 2,946,896
3 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
3/1/2 235
3/1/10 16,255