Happy Valley · 2021-11-10
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OFF THE REEL Closed strongly XB 1.41.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | WHO LOVES THE ACE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 33.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B1/TT H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 7 | 26.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS B/XB/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER H/XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 6 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE Closed strongly B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MUDITA Led early B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 5.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 66.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 166.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 25.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-10 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. OFF THE REEL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with WHO LOVES THE ACE second and AMAZING BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite CENTENARY IBIS finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 28.6% | 3.49 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | OFF THE REEL | 23.2% | 4.31 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS | 13.4% | 7.47 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 7.1% | 14.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 6.1% | 16.28 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | MUDITA | 5.8% | 17.37 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | WHO LOVES THE ACE | 5.4% | 18.67 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 3.1% | 32.30 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART | 2.6% | 39.19 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 1.9% | 53.50 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.7% | 58.99 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 1.3% | 78.72 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 39
PLACE
1 16
5 92
7 62.5
QUINELLA
1,5 591
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 210
1,7 164.5
5,7 691
FORECAST
1,5 1,309
TIERCE
1,5,7 16,877
TRIO
1,5,7 3,764
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 3,273
QUARTET
1,5,7,11 90,678
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 19