沙田 · 2021-11-21
第 1場
2021-11-21沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K H Ting訓練的SEASONS BLISS勝出，贏出3/4。SOARING TOWER獲得亞軍；EN POINTE獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門EN POINTE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SEASONS BLISS B 1.09.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SOARING TOWER K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 9.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | EN POINTE Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN XB-/H/SR1/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | TRUST ME H M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 13 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | E BROTHER CP1/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | BLAZING SUN H1 B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 3 | 72.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | AURORA PEGASUS H/V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 45.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SOLAR PARTNER H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 13 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | RUNNING GLORY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | VITRALITE XB L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 11 | 152.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 14 | DESTIN B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 14 | 6 | ASIAN ONE V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 10 | 166.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EN POINTE | 30.4% | 3.29 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | SEASONS BLISS | 15.8% | 6.34 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | RUNNING GLORY | 12.9% | 7.74 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | E BROTHER | 7.6% | 13.17 | 6 |
| 5 | 13 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 7.0% | 14.22 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | SOLAR PARTNER | 4.4% | 22.60 | 9 |
| 7 | 14 | DESTIN | 4.2% | 23.97 | 13 |
| 8 | 3 | SOARING TOWER | 4.1% | 24.43 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | TRUST ME | 3.9% | 25.82 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | AURORA PEGASUS | 3.1% | 32.00 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | BLAZING SUN | 3.1% | 32.20 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 1.8% | 55.89 | 4 |
| 13 | 4 | VITRALITE | 0.9% | 113.91 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | ASIAN ONE | 0.9% | 116.56 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 48
PLACE
1 16.5
3 29.5
8 14.5
QUINELLA
1,3 201
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 74
1,8 41
3,8 82
FORECAST
1,3 302
TIERCE
1,3,8 1,051
TRIO
1,3,8 202
FIRST 4
1,3,8,11 1,040
QUARTET
1,3,8,11 18,902
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —