沙田 · 2021-11-21
第 2場
2021-11-21沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的GOOD BUDDY勝出，贏出N。MOONLUCK獲得亞軍；EMERALD SPUR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD BUDDY 後段發力 1.22.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 3.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | MOONLUCK 後段發力 CP- R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 12 | 41.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | EMERALD SPUR 後段發力 B-/CP2/TT2 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | YOUNG VICTORY TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ROYAL AGILITY CP-/B1/TT B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 13 | 138.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | THE JOLLY 後段發力 CP-/XB-/B1/TT1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE H1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 108.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | COMPULSORY B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 4 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | TURQUOISE ALPHA 後段發力 CP M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SHENRON TT2 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | ENCHANTING START B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 6.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | GLORIFIED FIRE 早段領放 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 22.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOOD BUDDY | 26.6% | 3.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | EMERALD SPUR | 24.4% | 4.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK | 9.8% | 10.21 | 13 |
| 4 | 1 | CITY LEGEND | 8.0% | 12.51 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | YOUNG VICTORY | 6.0% | 16.71 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 4.2% | 23.59 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 4.2% | 24.01 | 14 |
| 8 | 6 | ENCHANTING START | 4.0% | 24.85 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | THE JOLLY | 3.7% | 27.35 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | MOONLUCK | 2.9% | 34.94 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | SHENRON | 2.7% | 37.14 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | COMPULSORY | 2.0% | 49.82 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.1% | 90.51 | 5 |
| 14 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 0.5% | 192.07 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 30.5
PLACE
3 20
4 14.5
12 91.5
QUINELLA
4,12 666
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 42.5
3,12 313.5
4,12 231
FORECAST
4,12 1,046
TIERCE
4,12,3 5,830
TRIO
3,4,12 1,103
FIRST 4
3,4,12,14 1,457
QUARTET
4,12,3,14 34,286
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 121
1/12 284.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20