Sha Tin · 2021-11-21
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY Closed strongly 1.22.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 3.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MOONLUCK Closed strongly CP- R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 12 | 41.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT2 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ROYAL AGILITY CP-/B1/TT B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 13 | 138.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | THE JOLLY Closed strongly CP-/XB-/B1/TT1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE H1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 108.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | COMPULSORY B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 4 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SHENRON TT2 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | ENCHANTING START B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 6.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | GLORIFIED FIRE Led early K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 22.0 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOOD BUDDY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with MOONLUCK second and EMERALD SPUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY | 26.6% | 3.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR | 24.4% | 4.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK | 9.8% | 10.21 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | CITY LEGEND | 8.0% | 12.51 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 6.0% | 16.71 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 4.2% | 23.59 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 4.2% | 24.01 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | ENCHANTING START | 4.0% | 24.85 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | THE JOLLY | 3.7% | 27.35 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | MOONLUCK | 2.9% | 34.94 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | SHENRON | 2.7% | 37.14 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | COMPULSORY | 2.0% | 49.82 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.1% | 90.51 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 0.5% | 192.07 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 30.5
PLACE
3 20
4 14.5
12 91.5
QUINELLA
4,12 666
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 42.5
3,12 313.5
4,12 231
FORECAST
4,12 1,046
TIERCE
4,12,3 5,830
TRIO
3,4,12 1,103
FIRST 4
3,4,12,14 1,457
QUARTET
4,12,3,14 34,286
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 121
1/12 284.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20