Sha Tin · 2021-11-21
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT 2.02.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 4.2 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 2 | 28.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR Closed strongly B B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.2 | HD |
| 4 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A T Millard | C Y Ho | A T Millard | 4 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPERBELLA Closed strongly V/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 7 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 14 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ENZEMBLE XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NORDIC SKY Closed strongly SR/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 12 | 58.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | STIMULATION B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON Led early B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 8.1 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM CP/H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 13 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | BLASTOISE L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 11 | 18.0 | 43 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-21 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ENTRUSTED, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with CHEVALIER PRINCE second and HELENE ALLIBOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 16.5% | 6.05 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | ENTRUSTED | 15.6% | 6.40 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ABOVE | 9.7% | 10.33 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 9.2% | 10.81 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | ENZEMBLE | 7.3% | 13.76 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 6.6% | 15.26 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 6.3% | 15.80 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 5.9% | 17.07 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 5.5% | 18.04 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 4.6% | 21.70 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | VINCY | 4.5% | 22.11 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | STIMULATION | 3.7% | 27.20 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 3.2% | 31.06 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | NORDIC SKY | 1.3% | 74.28 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 42.5
PLACE
5 17.5
6 24
14 86.5
QUINELLA
5,14 687.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 58.5
5,14 182.5
6,14 321
FORECAST
5,14 1,584
TIERCE
5,14,6 8,175
TRIO
5,6,14 1,207
FIRST 4
5,6,7,14 2,230
QUARTET
5,14,6,7 47,102
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 27
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
6/5 766
6/14 1,057.5