Sha Tin · 2021-11-21

Race 7

Group 2 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 7 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.55

Pos	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.34.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui	C Y Ho	K W Lui	7	128 lb	1.1	1
2	WAIKUKU Z Purton · J Size	Z Purton	J Size	4	128 lb	15.0	1
3	SKY DARCI Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes	J Moreira	C Fownes	5	123 lb	10.0	2-1/2
4	MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly M F Poon · C S Shum	M F Poon	C S Shum	3	123 lb	22.0	3-1/2
5	SOUTHERN LEGEND Led early V2/TT B Shinn · C Fownes	B Shinn	C Fownes	1	123 lb	17.0	3-3/4
6	CHAMPION'S WAY P/TT K Teetan · J Size	K Teetan	J Size	2	123 lb	17.0	5
7	PRECIOUSSHIP H Bentley · P F Yiu	H Bentley	P F Yiu	6	123 lb	24.0	5-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-21 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with WAIKUKU second and SKY DARCI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22

The model's top pick SKY DARCI (33.4%) finished 3rd — the winner GOLDEN SIXTY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	SKY DARCI	33.4%	2.99	3	10.0
2	GOLDEN SIXTY	33.3%	3.00	1	1.1
3	WAIKUKU	14.5%	6.91	2	15.0
4	PRECIOUSSHIP	6.0%	16.72	7	24.0
5	CHAMPION'S WAY	5.4%	18.53	6	17.0
6	MORE THAN THIS	5.4%	18.66	4	22.0
7	SOUTHERN LEGEND	2.0%	49.58	5	17.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 11.5

PLACE

1 10.1

2 24.5

5 17

QUINELLA

1,2 52

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 26.5

1,5 18

2,5 71

FORECAST

1,2 86

TIERCE

1,2,5 223

TRIO

1,2,5 80

FIRST 4

1,2,4,5 93

QUARTET

1,2,5,4 849

All pools (4 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,7,10/1,2,5 6,573

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 11.5

6TH DOUBLE

7/1 85

7/2 184

WINNING TRAINER

B3 11.5

B1 —

B2 —

B4 —

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