Sha Tin · 2021-11-21
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V 1.47.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 5.8 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | ZEBROWSKI Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 6.9 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 13.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | C P BRAVE J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 1 | 2.8 | N |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING QUEST B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 10.0 | N |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 9 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT Led early TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.1 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | ENJOYING Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | CHEFANO CP B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 11 | 84.0 | 22-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-21 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CELESTIAL POWER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by NOSE, with ZEBROWSKI second and BERLIN TANGO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite C P BRAVE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | C P BRAVE | 40.4% | 2.48 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ZEBROWSKI | 13.5% | 7.39 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 9.5% | 10.52 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 9.1% | 11.01 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 7.1% | 14.11 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 5.8% | 17.11 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.1% | 24.62 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 4.0% | 24.96 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARITY GO | 3.1% | 32.31 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | ENJOYING | 2.7% | 36.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | CHEFANO | 0.7% | 147.76 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 58
PLACE
2 19.5
4 42
5 19
QUINELLA
2,5 180
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 121.5
2,5 62.5
4,5 133
FORECAST
5,2 363
TIERCE
5,2,4 3,002
TRIO
2,4,5 730
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 171
2,4,5,6 543
QUARTET
5,2,4,3 4,920
5,2,4,6 10,127
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24.5
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
7/2 219
7/5 1,304.5